05/02/2025
$MCD Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript Summary
McDonald's Corporation held a Second Quarter 2023 Investor Conference Call, which was recorded and webcast. Mike Cieplak, Investor Relations Officer, and Chris Kempczinski, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Ian Borden, Chief Financial Officer, were present. Chris Kempczinski noted the theme of the quarter was Grimace, who had been in the news and had 3 billion views on TikTok. He also noted the continued consistency of McDonald's.
McDonald's has achieved global comparable sales of 11.7% in Q2, driven by the Accelerating the Arches playbook and the reintroduction of the PACE program. To further strengthen their foundation of running great restaurants, they have created the role of Chief Restaurant Officer in markets. They are also doubling down on existing growth pillars while evolving their strategy through accelerating the organization, digitizing the organization, and horizontal ways of working. The early benefits of these changes have already been seen.
This paragraph discusses the various ways that McDonald's is utilizing technology and market teams to drive global growth and efficiency. Examples include digital relationships in China, rigorous initiative reviews in Canada, best practices from Germany, and a unified global marketing campaign for the FIFA World Cup.
GBS is a new business unit that is working to increase efficiency and data accessibility while growing the company's talent pipeline. The company is also focused on capturing more customer visits by increasing the number of restaurant openings, as well as testing new ways to meet customer needs, such as food lockers and the upcoming CosMc's concept.
Chris thanked the teams and business partners in France for their strength and grace in handling the market unrest. Ian then took over and discussed McDonald's second quarter performance which was strong and consistent across all segments. McDonald's engaged with customers in culturally relevant ways with campaigns rooted in consumer insights, such as a nostalgic birthday celebration with Grimace at the center.
McDonald's had a very successful quarter, with double digit comparable sales growth in the US and positive buzz in other markets. The company celebrated the 40th anniversary of Chicken McNuggets in the UK, China, Australia, and Germany by offering limited time sauces, creative marketing campaigns, and Spicy McNuggets. These initiatives drove brand affinity and resulted in significant lifts to the McNuggets line, reaching an all time high in Australia. McDonald's plans to continue to modernize its core menu and scale new ideas across the globe.
McDonald's has been successful in scaling its McCrispy Chicken Sandwich to 10 of its largest markets, including Spain, and has achieved market share leadership in chicken in the UK. To maintain its leadership position in value, McDonald's has introduced the McSmart menu in Germany and the Saver Meal deals in the UK, which have both been successful. These offerings provide customers with an affordable option in a challenging macro environment.
McDonald's has continued to enhance the customer experience, providing faster and more enjoyable experiences through their app and introducing new experiences such as the Frequent Fryer program. Digital sales now represent nearly 40% of system wide sales, and there are over 52 million 90 day active members across their top six markets. These initiatives are creating additional customer demand and share gains across most of their major markets.
The company reported strong top line growth across each of its segments, resulting in adjusted earnings per share of $3.17 for the quarter, an increase of 25% in constant currencies. Total restaurant margin dollars grew by nearly 14% for the quarter. G&A decreased 6% in constant currencies, primarily due to a prior year cost incurred for a worldwide convention. The company is expecting an adjusted operating margin of 46% for the full year, and an adjusted effective tax rate of 18%.
McDonald's Corporation is focused on increasing the value of their brand and staying relevant through investments in cultural conversations and industry leading innovations. This has resulted in impressive awards and recognition such as 18 lions at the Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity and the Marketing Society's Grand Prix. The brand has also risen to the number five spot in the 2023 Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands report. Additionally, customer food quality scores have increased as their brand has become more popular. McDonald's is committed to creating the world's greatest franchising opportunity for franchisees for generations to come, and their Accelerating the Arches strategy is focused on setting up the company and franchisees to continue to succeed.
Chris Kempczinski discusses McDonald's current expectations for the US consumer. The sentiment is improving, and McDonald's is gaining share from those with an income under $100,000, suggesting that they are benefiting from trade down. Additionally, they are seeing a decrease in order size but an increase in traffic from those with incomes of $45,000 and less.
The US consumer is showing signs of concern, and this has led to some consumers trading down from more premium items to more core and value items, as well as buying less overall. However, McDonald's value positioning in the market has helped them weather the storm and maintain a strong gap from competitors. Despite the macro context of inflation and rising interest rates, McDonald's has seen positive traffic growth and continues to outperform the broader sector.
Ian Borden outlines three factors that will lead to a moderation of their top line growth in the back half of the year: a lack of COVID-related tailwinds, declining inflation in the US, and the focus on improving customer experience. He mentions that inflation is still elevated, but is gradually declining.
The company is expecting a gradual decline in pricing levels and a decline in the broader sector in their top markets due to challenging macroeconomic conditions and consumer sentiment. They are confident in their Accelerating the Arches strategy and their underlying momentum. They are expecting more pronounced moderation in the back half of the second half of the year than the front half, and they are continuing to gain market share in the majority of their top markets.
Ian Borden explains that the operating margin guidance has been updated from 45% to 46%, due to their performance in the first half of the year. He also mentions the inflationary and margin pressures they are expecting to continue, as well as a higher G&A spend in the second half of the year. Finally, they expect a one-time property gain in the fourth quarter.
The IOM business has seen strong performance, but is facing inflationary pressures in the European markets. The teams have implemented pricing to protect margins while maintaining affordability and value. Execution has also been strong, with increased customer satisfaction scores and shorter service times.
The operations in Europe have been performing well, but there have been some macroeconomic pressures in France due to unrest and some restaurants have had to be taken offline. The UK is dealing with the worst consumer sentiment in Europe, but the company is still performing well. To ensure a strong value message in the second half of the year, the company is focusing on core menu, chicken growth, and digital. The loyalty program has 52 million people in the top six markets and when members are added to it, there is a 15% increase in frequency. There is still high single digit growth in terms of sign ups.
Chris Kempczinski emphasizes that McDonald's value programs are working and driving success, and there is nothing broken from a value standpoint that needs to be changed. Ian Borden adds that McDonald's teams are being proactive and agile in a volatile set of external circumstances.
Ian Borden believes that the best way to improve store level margins is to focus on driving strong momentum in the business, which is what the US business has done. Despite rapid and accelerated periods of inflation, there is still pressure on margins, which can be seen in the US business.
McDonald's is focused on driving sustainable margin dollar cash flow growth for themselves and their franchisees, despite facing pressure from food and paper inflation and labor inflation. Despite this, McDonald's has confidence that their strong top line momentum will continue to drive both margin dollars and margin percentage growth. McDonald's is also having conversations with franchisees about balancing their need for margin while maintaining leadership with customers.
Chris Kempczinski explains that McDonald's success is due to its broad-based strategy, which includes great marketing, focusing on core menu items, and executing the three Ds and four Ds. He states that this consistent execution is what has allowed McDonald's to take share in almost all of its major markets and maintain its momentum.
Chris Carril asked Mike Cieplak to expand on the development outlook for the second half of the year and beyond 2023. Mike Cieplak responded that McDonald's has seen strong top line momentum, improving margins and organizational changes to support development. The key unlocks to accelerate new restaurant openings are continuing to execute across the Accelerating the Arches playbook, driving customer engagement in digital, reducing service times, increasing customer satisfaction scores, and having momentum.
Chris Kempczinski discussed the opportunities that McDonald's have for growth in the US, such as looking at traditional restaurants and examining the demographic shifts that have occurred in the past 20-30 years. He also mentioned the possibility of introducing small format concepts to open up real estate opportunities that would not normally be available.
Ian Borden discusses the need to provide rent relief to franchisees due to the macro challenges in the European market. He mentions that the pace, scale, and breadth of the pressures are different this year. He also mentions that the targeted and temporary rent relief is between $100 million to $150 million, and that this relief has been provided since the beginning of 2023.
McDonald's decided to provide targeted and temporary support to franchisees as inflation began to increase. This support was fundamental to the business's exit velocity and momentum, and has contributed to its consistent growth even in difficult macroeconomic contexts. Chris Kempczinski adds that in market visits, conversations with franchisees have been positive.
Ian Borden explains that McDonald's G&A spending is usually back-half weighted, but this year is even more pronounced due to their investments in technology and digital. He also mentions that their decisions are aimed at long-term success, and the program they have in place is temporary and targeted. Lastly, he mentions the need to continue investing in technology and digital.
The company is investing in digital and technology platforms to drive growth and generate a return. Additionally, they are investing in a global business service organization to digitize operations and drive sustainable efficiencies. They expect their G&A to be in the 2.2-2.3% of sales range, closer to the higher end.
The pricing in the US business is at a low double digit level in the second quarter and is expected to remain so for the rest of the year. The pricing is a result of inflation and is offset by trade down and consumers buying less. Traffic growth, market share gains, and a strong value for money and affordability positioning have been consistent. The company has improved its pricing capabilities and has been disciplined in its pricing decisions to balance the short-term challenge with a long-term focus on driving momentum.
Mike Cieplak concluded the McDonald's Corporation Investor Call by thanking everyone for joining and wishing them a great day. He also expressed his satisfaction with how they had navigated a complex environment.
This summary was generated with AI and may contain some inaccuracies.