$TJX Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Summary

TJX

Aug 16, 2023

The TJX Companies Second Quarter Fiscal 2024 Financial Results Conference Call began with a statement from Operator Sheila, followed by remarks from Ernie Herrman, Chief Executive Officer and President of The TJX Companies, Inc., and Debra McConnell. They discussed forward-looking statements and the risks associated with them, and also noted that any recording, retransmission, or reproduction of the call without prior consent is prohibited. They also mentioned the impact of foreign exchange on the company's consolidated results and provided information about non-GAAP measures. Finally, Herrman thanked the global associates for their hard work.

The speaker is thankful for the safety of their associates in Hawaii and has made a donation to the Maui Food Bank. They are pleased with the second quarter performance, which saw a 6% increase in overall comp sales and customer traffic, as well as high single-digit increases in both comp sales and customer traffic for their largest division, Marmaxx. They are raising their full year outlook for comp sales, pre-tax profit margin, and earnings per share.

In the third quarter of fiscal '23, TJX saw an increase in customer traffic and comp store sales growth, with apparel and home comp sales up high single-digits and mid-single digits respectively. TJX's net sales grew 8% to $12.8 billion and their pre-tax margin was up 120 basis points compared to the second quarter of the previous year, due to lower freight costs and expense leverage on their above-plan sales. Gross margin was up 260 basis points.

In the second quarter, Marmaxx saw an 8% increase in comp store sales, driven by customer traffic and increases in apparel and home categories. This was consistent across all regions and income demographics. The segment profit margin was 13.7%, up 80 basis points versus last year, due to lower freight costs and expense leverage on strong sales and mark on. The company is pleased with the momentum at Marmaxx and has plans to drive sales and traffic for the remainder of the year.

HomeGoods had an increase in comp store sales and customer traffic in the second quarter, resulting in a 600 basis point increase in segment profit margin. Canada saw a 1% increase in comp store sales and 15% segment profit margin. TJX International had a 3% comp store sales increase and 2.1% segment profit margin, negatively impacted by a German receivable. E-commerce remains a small percentage of the business, and balance sheet inventory was down 7% compared to the second quarter of the previous fiscal year.

TJX has been successful for nearly five decades due to its core strengths of offering value leadership and having a flexible brick-and-mortar retail model. In the second quarter, the company generated $1.3 billion in operating cash flow and paid down $500 million of maturing debt, returning $932 million to shareholders through buyback and dividend programs.

TJX has a flexible supply chain and store formats which allow them to ship to their stores frequently and merchandise them individually. They also have a wide variety of vendors and a best-in-class buying organization to create a fun treasure hunt shopping experience. Additionally, they have a global infrastructure, supply chain, and buying organization which allows them to leverage their global presence. Lastly, they have a deep decades-long off-price experience in the U.S. and internationally, which is a tremendous advantage for their growth.

The company is confident in their product availability, store merchandising initiatives, and marketing campaigns for the second half of the year. They have exceeded their pre-tax profit margin plan for fiscal 2024 and are committed to continuing to improve their profitability. They are also committed to acting as a responsible corporate citizen, and will publish their annual global corporate responsibility report this fall.

TJX is pleased with their momentum and success in the first half of the year, and are confident that their flexible off-price business model and operating expertise will help them capture additional market share and improve profitability in the long term. They have offered eligible former TJX associates the opportunity to receive a lump sum payout of their vested pension benefit, which could negatively impact fiscal '24 EPS by approximately $0.01 to $0.02. For the full year, they are expecting an overall comp store sales increase of 3% to 4%.

The company is expecting consolidated sales of $53.5 to $53.8 billion for the full year, with pre-tax profit margin in the range of 10.6-10.7%. Shrink is expected to remain flat, while adjusted gross margin is expected to increase 180-190 basis points due to lower freight costs and a benefit from merchandise margin. The freight benefit includes a pull forward of most of the benefit expected in the next fiscal year.

The company is expecting its full year SG&A to be 19.1%, a 120 basis point increase from the previous year, and a full year tax rate of 26%. This will result in a full year earnings per share guidance of $3.66 to $3.72, and adjusted earnings per share of $3.56 to $3.62. For the third quarter, the company is expecting overall comp store sales growth to be up 3% to 4%, driven by customer traffic and an increase in units sold. Consolidated sales are expected to be in the range of $12.9 billion to $13.1 billion, and pre-tax profit margin to be in the range of 11.3% to 11.5%. Gross margin is expected to be in the range of 30.3% to 30.5%, with lower freight costs partially offset by headwinds from supply chain investments.

This paragraph discusses the company's plans for third and fourth quarter SG&A, taxes, net interest income, earnings per share, comp store sales, and adjusted pre-tax margin. It also mentions that the company is looking to improve profitability over the long term and is focused on increasing sales and traffic, capturing additional market share, and improving merchandise margin. Finally, it mentions that the company is in a strong financial position to invest in the growth of its business and return cash to shareholders.

Ernie Herrman and John Klinger answer a question from Matthew Boss about the progression of traffic and demand in the second quarter and the improved bottom line outlook for the year. Ernie Herrman explains that each month of the second quarter got stronger and the momentum has continued into the third quarter. He also mentions that there has been healthy performance across all categories, including home, which improved from a 7% decrease in the first quarter to a 4% increase in the second quarter. John Klinger adds that the improved bottom line outlook is due to factors such as average unit retail and freight costs.

The like-for-like pricing strategy is working, and the ticket decline is due to a mix of departments. Ernie Herrman confirmed that the pricing increases are working and there are no signs of a trade-down customer coming into any of the company's banners. He also noted that the company is seeing opportunities to take prices in certain areas and is pleased with how their strategies drove their top line.

Ernie Herrman and John Klinger discuss how customers view the value of their products as having improved since the previous year, evidenced by their sales and turns. They have seen an increase in market share due to store closures and downsizing from other retailers. They believe their strong execution has helped them gain this market share.

John Klinger and Ernie Herrman responded to Brooke Roach's question about the key drivers of future profit improvement by stating that they are striving to improve all the time with better buying and expense control, and that sales have been a driver in helping them leverage. John Klinger also mentioned that the extra week and the cycling of the shrink accrual are factors that should be considered when looking at the high end of the margin guide for Q3 and Q4, and that they are confident in continuing to drive the top line.

Ernie Herrman states that the HomeGoods business is reaching an inflection point and will continue to contribute to the TJX business in a positive way in the back half of the year. He also mentions that the home business within the full family stores has improved, which is a good indicator for the TJX business moving forward.

John Klinger and Ernie Herrman of the company discussed the increase in customers, primarily Gen Z and millennial shoppers, and the goal of increasing cross-shopping between different stores. They noted that the customers who do cross-shop tend to spend more. The company has been successful in attracting younger customers in Europe, Australia, and domestically.

Marni Shapiro asked John Klinger to clarify the 53rd week revenue number, to which he replied that it was worth 10 basis points to their pre-tax profit and $800 million on the top line. Ernie Herrman then responded to Bob Drbul's question about the consumer's response to apparel and accessories, saying that there has been an amazing availability across all areas.

Ernie and John discuss how their buyers strategically purchase different categories, such as handbags and women's tops, to achieve a certain balance of good, better, and best. They acknowledge that there are some pockets of imbalance, but overall they maintain a strong balance in their product mix. John adds that the merchants have done a great job across a wide range of categories and that there is always one area with a slight imbalance in any given quarter.

Ernie Herrman and John Klinger discussed the competitive advantage of their company's ability to offer good, better and best options, which is not common among retailers. They have been actively taking advantage of closing stores to acquire better locations and have seen consistent sales performance across income demographics and geography.

Ernie Herrman discusses the market share Bed Bath & Beyond has been losing and how the company has been able to gain it back. He also notes that the company is seeing a benefit from the inconsistency of online home retailers, as it creates buying opportunities and additional supply. Finally, Herrman states that wages will continue to be a headwind, but that the company will remain competitive in every market and that attrition rates are in line or improving compared to last year.

John Klinger and Ernie Herrman of the company discussed the ticket query and how the average ticket is determined by consumer demand. They explained that they do not dictate which categories to have more or less of, and that the ticket could change depending on certain opportunities or categories that become hotter. They also noted that in Q3, the ticket is moderating, meaning it is decreasing less.

Ernie Herrman discussed the company's buying strategy, which includes buying off-price items in advance, as well as buying in-season closeouts. He noted that they are pacing themselves on in-season closeouts due to the abundance of supply, and that they will be slightly more conservative in their upfront buying. He also mentioned that packaways have become a smaller part of their business, and that they prioritize closeouts and opportunistic buying.

Ernie Herrman thanked everyone for joining the conference call and announced that they will be updating everyone on their third quarter earnings call in November. The operator thanked everyone for participating and concluded the call.

This summary was generated with AI and may contain some inaccuracies.